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Showing posts from January, 2025

D/15 FOMO against 4h

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Spotted many D/15 this morning. BTC, ETH, LINK all looking similar. Took this trade on BTC due to a tight ~0.40% SL. Could go in with $5k risking $22. Should be around $100+ if it's a winner. Am I gambling here? Or just seeing an edge in the market. 15 min 1h 4h with red dot UNCONFIRMED. Was similar red dot last successful D/15 long But this long doesn't feel as good as the previous one. Maybe we're too high, at the top of the range. After the D bull div has played out its first part. Whatever, losing is part of trading and it's going to be about -$22 today if so. Not the end of the world. UPDATE 4h red dot closed and we tanked. -1% on acc.

Daily bull div, $100k+ next?

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  Daily bull div on bottom of range. Should take us to top of range. Weekly looks scary, bear div on 2W. Confirmed. Is it gonna ignore it and blast upwards like it ignored the M bear div? D 2W Bear div M Bear div with MF bear diving also. IGNORED, BLASTED UPWARDS. FIRST TIME IN HISTORY OF BTC = MEGA MEGA BULL? UPDATE (6 days later) Took 1 day after bull div to reach $100k Pumped 13% in 6 days, reached top of range D Now weekly is looking hopeful again, outwardly round "VWAP" The scariness on 2W looking better, MF keeps cruising upwards and momentum seem to pinch up

D/15 WIN

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 Haven't traded in weeks. But yesterday I saw an opportunity with a pretty tight SL. I took the trade. On BTC & ETH. BTC price was not under dOpen when entering, so I didn't follow the rules to 100%, but it looked so good I had to take it. Good R:R. 4R+. ETH was prime. ETH 15 min 1h 4h D 4h was printing a red dot with around 3h until confirmation. I thought it would be a false red dot or that it will disappear before confirmation. CF was shorting miserably. The kink in the momentum wave is where the 4h red dot was appearing, but disappeared and price shot up. BTC 15 min 1h 4h also kinked from red dot D The bull div on BTC Daily is looking great for a bottom. Hence why I was confident in longing the shit out of the D/15.

Market Cipher FOMO

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  This 2D I FOMOed in.  5 min UPDATE 16.01.24 5 min 2D We went up 3-4% and then straight down again. Around 3R if you exited at the top. Not super good but not bad either. The 2D fairly tight trigger wave lasted for just a blip. But it did predict a move up. Need to backtest what the winrate is on the 2D trigger. Not sure if I want to blind backtest the 2D trigger or combine it with a higher TF during backtest. Way more work. But should be done for more data. Anyway it was a win.